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Passer rating (known as passing efficiency or pass efficiency in NCAA football) is a measure of the performance of quarterbacks or any other passers in American football and Canadian football. There are at least two formulae currently in use: one officially used by the National Football League and the Canadian Football League, and one used in college football. Passer rating is calculated using each quarterback's completion percentage, passing yardage, touchdowns and interceptions.

A perfect passer rating in the NFL is 158.3. A perfect passing efficiency in college football is 1261.6.

HistoryEdit

The NFL's complex passer rating was devised in 1971 by a special committee headed by Don Smith, an executive at the Pro Football Hall of Fame.[1][2] Don Weiss created the passer rating.[2] Prior to that, the NFL had struggled with how to crown a passing ranking using multiple statistics.[1]

NFL & CFLEdit

The calculation of the NFL (and CFL) passer rating involves more steps than the NCAA formula. In order to establish a maximum value for an NFL player's passer rating, a separate calculation needs to be completed involving each of the following four categories: Completion Percentage, Average Yards Per Attempt, Percentage of Touchdown Passes, and Percentage of Interceptions. If the result in any category is less than 0, the given result should be 0. If the result in any category is greater than 2.375, the given result should be 2.375. This makes the maximum possible quarterback rating for the NFL 158.3. A perfect rating requires at least a 77.5% completion rate, at least 12.5 yards per attempt, a touchdown on at least 11.875% of attempts, and no interceptions.[3]

The four separate calculations can be expressed in the following equations:

$ a = \left ({\text{COMP} \over \text{ATT}} - .3 \right ) \times 5 $

$ b = \left ({\text{YARDS} \over \text{ATT}} - 3 \right ) \times .25 $

$ c = \left ({\text{TD} \over \text{ATT}} \right ) \times 20 $

$ d = 2.375 - \left ({\text{INT} \over \text{ATT}} \times 25 \right ) $

where

ATT = Number of passing attempts
COMP = Number of completions
YARDS = Passing yards
TD = Touchdown passes
INT = Interceptions

Then, the above calculations are used to complete the passer rating:

$ Passer Rating_{NFL} = \left ({mm(a) + mm(b) + mm(c) + mm(d) \over 6} \right ) \times 100 $
where $ mm(x) = \text{max}(0, \text{min}(x, 2.375)) $

NCAAEdit

Passer rating, known formally in college football as passing efficiency or pass efficiency, is based on player performances. The NCAA passing efficiency formula is far simpler[4] than the NFL formula, as it lacks limits on the four components:

$ Passer Rating_{NCAA} = {(8.4 \times YDS) + (330 \times TD) + (100 \times COMP) - (200 \times INT) \over ATT} $

The NCAA passer rating has an upper limit of 1,261.6 (every attempt is a 99-yard completion for touchdown), and a lower limit of -731.6 (every attempt is completed, but results in a 99-yard loss). A passer who throws only interceptions will have a -200 rating, as would a passer who only throws completed passes losing an average of 35.714 yards.

Value and LimitationsEdit

As mentioned, both the NFL and NCAA passer rating formulae are only based on completion percentage, passing yardage, touchdowns, and interceptions. As the NFL notes, "It is important to remember that the system is used to rate passers, not quarterbacks. Statistics do not reflect leadership, play-calling, and other intangible factors that go into making a successful professional quarterback."[3] For example, it does not factor in rushing yards gained by such quarterbacks as Randall Cunningham, Steve Young, Michael Vick, and John Elway who were also known for their running ability. Nor does it measure a quarterback's win-loss record, how many times he has fumbled or been sacked, or evaluate his leadership and performance during crucial situations such as third-down efficiency or fourth-quarter scoring drives.

In 2011, the American sports network ESPN developed an alternative statistic called the total quarterback rating which purports to more accurately measure quarterbacks' contribution to their teams' winning.[5] However, the QBR rating system has met with significant backlash amongst fans and commentators alike.

After ESPN's unveiling of total quarterback rating, CNNSI.com published an article by Kerry Byrne of Cold Hard Football Facts highlighting the importance of passer rating in determining a team's success.[6] "Put most simply," the article states, "you cannot be a smart football analyst and dismiss passer rating. In fact, it's impossible to look at the incredible correlation of victory to passer rating and then dismiss it. You might as well dismiss the score of a game when determining a winner. [...] Few, if any, are more indicative of wins and losses than passer rating. Teams that posted a higher passer rating went 203-53 (.793) in 2010 and an incredible 151-29 (.839) after Week 5." Byrne made an expanded defense of the passer rating and its importance for the Pro Football Researchers Association in 2012.[7] The study noted that of the eight teams since 1940 to lead the league in both offensive passer rating and defensive passer rating, all won championships.[8]

RecordsEdit

NFLEdit

Aaron Rodgers holds the NFL record for the highest career passer rating for any player with at least 1,500 attempts, with a current mark of 104.9.[9] In 2011 Rodgers also set the record for highest passer rating in a single season with a 122.5 rating.[10] In 2012, rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III posted a perfect passer rating of 158.3, only the second rookie to do so, along with Drew Bledsoe.[11] Wide receiver Antwaan Randle El, with a passer rating of 157.5 from 21 completed passes of a possible 26, has the highest career rating of any non-QB with more than twenty attempts.[12] Peyton Manning holds the record for the most games with a perfect passer rating (4). As of 2012, 61 NFL quarterbacks have completed a game with a perfect passer rating of 158.3, and seven have done so multiple times. Phil Simms holds the Super Bowl record for the highest passer rating, game, at 150.92 in Super Bowl XXI. Ben Roethlisberger holds the Super Bowl record for the lowest passer rating to win game, at 22.6 in Super Bowl XL.

NCAAEdit

In Division I FBS (formerly Division I-A), the career record for passing efficiency is held by Sam Bradford of Oklahoma, who had a career mark of 175.6 between 2007 and 2009.[13] The single-season record belongs to Russell Wilson of the Wisconsin Badgers, who achieved a passer rating of 191.8 over the 2011 season, while the freshman record belongs to Michael Vick of Virginia Tech, whose rating during the 1999 season was 180.4.[citation needed]

See alsoEdit

ReferencesEdit

  1. 1.0 1.1 "Passer Rating Formula". Baseball-statistics.com. http://www.baseball-statistics.com/Greats/Century/passer-rating.htm. Retrieved 2011-11-15. "So in 1971, Commissioner Pete Rozelle asked the NFL's statistical committee to fix it. They turned to Don Smith, an executive at the Pro Football Hall of Fame who was known as a statistical whiz, who developed the passer rating."
  2. 2.0 2.1 "History Release » NFL's Passer Rating". Profootballhof.com. 2010-02-07. http://www.profootballhof.com/history/release.aspx?release_id=1303. Retrieved 2011-11-15. "In the early 1970s, a special study committee headed by the late Don Smith of the Pro Football Hall of Fame; Seymour Siwoff of Elias Sports Bureau (the official NFL statisticians); and the late Don Weiss of the National Football League created the passer rating that is now in use in the NFL."
  3. 3.0 3.1 "NFL.com - NFL Quarterback Rating Formula". http://www.nfl.com/help/quarterbackratingformula. Retrieved 2011-08-06.
  4. "NCAA and NFL Passing Efficiency computation". Football.stassen.com. http://football.stassen.com/pass-eff/. Retrieved 2011-11-15.
  5. Guide to the Total Quarterback Rating
  6. CNNSI.com: Defending traditional passer rating
  7. Cold Hard Football Facts: 40 and Fabulous: in praise of passer rating
  8. 1941 Bears, 1943 Bears, 1949 Eagles, 1955 Browns, 1958 Colts, 1959 Colts, 1966 Packers, and 1996 Packers
  9. "NFL Career Passer Rating Leaders" Pro-Football-Reference.com
  10. http://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/pass_rating_single_season.htm
  11. "NFL Single Game Passer Rating Leaders" Pro-Football-Reference.com
  12. King, Peter (2010-11-15). "Patriots? Jets? Giants? There are no super NFL teams this season". Sports Illustrated. http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/peter_king/11/14/monday-morning-qb-week-10/3.html. Retrieved 2011-01-06.
  13. "2011 Football Bowl Subdivision Records". NCAA. p. 7. http://fs.ncaa.org/Docs/stats/football_records/2011/FBS.pdf. Retrieved 5 September 2011.

External linksEdit